Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000246 0.000275 0.000307 0.000345 0.000387 0.000433 0.000487
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000186 0.000227 0.000276 0.000337 0.000414 0.000506 0.000626
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000199 0.000257 0.000336 0.000441 0.000578 0.000769
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000176 0.000239 0.000329 0.000457 0.000632 0.000895
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000163 0.000231 0.000333 0.000485 0.000705 0.001053
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000152 0.000224 0.000336 0.000510 0.000775 0.001215
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000136 0.000206 0.000321 0.000506 0.000799 0.001308
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000128 0.000201 0.000323 0.000527 0.000864 0.001475
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000126 0.000203 0.000337 0.000570 0.000969 0.001723
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000117 0.000193 0.000329 0.000575 0.001010 0.001863
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000106 0.000179 0.000314 0.000563 0.001018 0.001943
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000101 0.000176 0.000316 0.000584 0.001090 0.002152
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000100 0.000178 0.000330 0.000630 0.001215 0.002493
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000094 0.000171 0.000325 0.000638 0.001269 0.002700
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000089 0.000166 0.000324 0.000655 0.001343 0.002960
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000083 0.000159 0.000318 0.000659 0.001390 0.003167
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000081 0.000157 0.000322 0.000686 0.001489 0.003509
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000078 0.000154 0.000324 0.000709 0.001585 0.003862
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000072 0.000145 0.000310 0.000694 0.001588 0.003981
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000069 0.000142 0.000312 0.000714 0.001679 0.004346
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000069 0.000145 0.000325 0.000765 0.001851 0.004955
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000065 0.000139 0.000318 0.000765 0.001897 0.005226
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000028 0.000060 0.000130 0.000303 0.000743 0.001881 0.005315